Mathematics Probability Conceptual 11–13 yrs

The Probability Scale

概率刻度

Description

Understand probability as a measure on a scale from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain); use the language of probability including likely, unlikely, certain, and impossible

Mastery Evidence
  • Place everyday events on a 0-to-1 probability scale with justification
  • Explain why a fair six-sided die gives each number a probability of 1/6
  • Distinguish between equally likely outcomes (fair coin) and unequally likely outcomes (biased spinner)
Assessment Prompt

Can your child explain that probability goes from 0 (impossible) to 1 (certain), place events on that scale as numbers, and tell you whether a game is fair or not?